Sponsored by: Private Internet Access: piavpn.com/Perun
We've spent a lot of time in the past talking about systems that have been called 'game changers' or arguably overperformed in Ukraine, relative to either expectations, costs, or both.
Today, we look at some of the opposite - systems that may not be having the expected impact, and which might prompt some thinking in planners observing the Ukrainian experience.
Patreon:
patreon.com/PerunAU
Reading and Sourcing:
DoD Reimbursable Rates FY2023
comptroller.defense.gov/Portals/45/documents/rates/fy2023/2023_b_c.pdfv
BMD-4M Product Information
roe.ru/eng/catalog/land-forces/armored-combat-vehicles/bmd-4m/
US Army - FY 2025 Budget Estimates - Aircraft Procurement, Army
asafm.army.mil/Portals/72/Documents/BudgetMaterial/2025/Base%20Budget/Procurement/Aircraft-Procurement-Army.pdf
Program Acquisition Cost by Weapon System United States Department of Defense Fiscal Year 2025 Budget Request
comptroller.defense.gov/Portals/45/Documents/defbudget/FY2025/FY2025_Weapons.pdf
Chatham House - Assessing Russian Plans for Military Regeneration
chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/2024-07/2024-07-09-assessing-russian-plans-military-boulegue-et-al.pdf
Excalibur announcement and initial arrival reporting
defense.gov/News/News-Stories/Article/Article/3179784/himars-excalibur-rounds-headed-for-ukraine-in-625-million-security-assistance-p/
interestingengineering.com/videos/ep-5-why-is-the-m982-excalibur-round-a-game-changer-in-ukraine
Reporting on Polish AH-64 purchase
dsca.mil/sites/default/files/mas/Press%20Release%20-%20Poland%2023-48%20CN.pdf
reuters.com/world/poland-buys-96-apache-helicopters-us-2024-08-13/
breakingdefense.com/2024/08/a-breakthrough-moment-for-polish-military-aviation-as-apache-deal-is-signed/
Reporting on Russian EW
businessinsider.com/us-gave-up-sending-ukraine-100k-excalibur-shells-hit-targets-2024-5
nytimes.com/2024/05/25/world/europe/us-weapons-russia-jamming-ukraine.html
Roger McDermott "Shamanov Fights for VDV’s Future" - 2012
jamestown.org/program/shamanov-fights-for-vdvs-future/
Selected Acquisition Report (SAR) - AH-64E Apache New Build - Dec 2022
esd.whs.mil/Portals/54/Documents/FOID/Reading%20Room/Selected_Acquisition_Reports/FY_2022_SARS/AH64E_New_Build_SAR_DEC_2022_edited.pdf
Reporting on FARA
flightglobal.com/defence/how-combat-helicopter-losses-in-ukraine-brought-down-us-armys-fara-strategy/157468.article
defensenew s.com/air/2024/02/08/us-army-spent-billions-on-a-new-helicopter-that-now-will-never-fly/
Russian Ultra-nationalist rally report 2007
reuters.com/article/us-russia-racist/russian-ultra-nationalists-rally-as-police-watch-idUSL2851145120070128/
Japan
australiandefence.com.au/defence/land/japan-to-ditch-attack-helicopters#:~:text=Japan%20has%20declared%20its%20intention,five-year%20defence%20buildup%20plans
interceptor drone vs Helicopter
twz.com/air/ukraine-situation-report-russians-say-their-mi-8-hip-helicopter-shot-down-by-drone
Hellfire 2
lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed-martin/mfc/pc/hellfire/23-05810-TM_AGMS-HELLFIRE-II-Product-Card-1.pdf
JAGM
lockheedmartin.com/content/dam/lockheed-martin/mfc/pc/jagm/22-15188-TM-AGMS-Product-Card-Updates-JAGM.pdf
Polish Chunmoo order
janes.com/osint-insights/defence-news/industry/poland-orders-second-batch-of-chunmoo-mrlsv
Reporting on EW in Ukraine
kyivindependent.com/the-invisible-war-inside-the-electronic-warfare-arms-race-that-could-shape-course-of-the-war/
afr.com/world/europe/russia-has-the-upper-hand-in-electronic-warfare-with-ukraine-20240108-p5evul
Spike NLOS + AH-64
defenceconnect.com.au/joint-capabilities/13280-lockheed-martin-successfully-completes-spike-nlos-from-apachev
Caveats & Comments:
All normal caveats and comments apply. In particular – I would like to note as always that this material has been created for entertainment purposes and is not intended to be a complete or comprehensive examination of the topic in question and should not be relied upon to inform financial or other similar decisions.
Any content relating to the conduct or political views and/or activities of any person or character in this video is included for entertainment purposes and does not represent an assertion of fact on those matters.
Timestamps:
00:00 — Opening Words
00:54 — What Am I Talking About?
03:08 — Rating This
05:15 — When Precision - Isn't
07:30 — Excalibur
12:51 — GLSDB
20:10 — The Paradrop Problem
32:19 — Speaking Of Attack Helicopters
35:45 — Attack Helicopter Losses
41:08 — Polish Figures
47:04 — What Could It Be Instead?
54:01 — Not The End For Rotary...
58:13 — Channel Update
- Disappointing Systems in Ukraine - From imprecise precision munitions to explosive IFVs ( Download)
- ‘A Flying Tank’: Why the Mi-24 Is Called the World’s Only Assault Helicopter | WSJ Equipped ( Download)
- Outgunned - Artillery & The War in Ukraine - Developments, lessons, & logistics ( Download)
- Russian IGLA Anti-Air Weapon Used by Both Sides in Ukraine ( Download)
- Cruise & ballistic missiles in Ukraine - effectiveness, lessons (and are the Russians running out) ( Download)
- Putin’s New Major Problem for Russian Military Revealed (War in Ukraine) ( Download)
- Russian Strengths & Capabilities in Ukraine - Why Russia is still a threat in 2023 ( Download)
- Putin's closest ally - Could Belarus successfully invade Ukraine (probably not) ( Download)
- Can this NEW Attack Helicopter Defeat China's Anti Air ( Download)
- Attrition, Casualties & the Winter War in Ukraine - losses, force quality and force generation ( Download)
- Russia's Allies - How will Iran, Syria & North Korea impact the war in Ukraine ( Download)
- I Survived 100 Days of THE INVASION (NOT MINECRAFT) ( Download)
- Arms treaties to be inadequate with missile and drone development, experts warn ( Download)
- 80 олигархов против Украины: кто из миллиардеров помогал армии РФ в Буче, Виннице и Мариуполе ( Download)
- YOU vs XENOMORPH - How Can You Defeat and Survive It and Other Alien Scenarios - Compilation ( Download)
